The gioi ca cuoc bong da ty so som nhat luon day ray nhung co hoi va thach thuc, va chia khoa de thanh cong khong nam o may man, ma chinh la kha nang phan tich keo nha cai mot cach sac ben. Doi voi nhung nguoi dam me bo mon tuc cau va muon tim kiem loi nhuan tu nhung tran cau dinh cao, viec nam vung nghe thuat "soi keo" la dieu bat buoc. Bai viet nay se di sau vao cach tiep can cac du doan keo bong da mot cach khoa hoc va hieu qua nhat.





Hieu Ro Ban Chat Cua Keo Nha Cai





Truoc khi ban den cac chien luoc du doan, chung ta can hieu ro keo nha cai la gi. Day khong chi don thuan la ty le cuoc, ma la mot he thong phuc tap duoc cac chuyen gia phan tich xay dung dua tren vo so yeu to nhu phong do doi bong, luc luong, lich su doi dau, loi the san nha/san khach, va tham chi la tinh hinh thoi tiet.





Muc dich cua nha cai la tao ra su can bang ve tai chinh giua cac cua cuoc, chu khong han la du doan chinh xac ket qua cuoi cung. Chinh vi the, viec doc vi duoc y do cua nha cai thong qua cac bien dong keo la buoc dau tien de gianh chien thang.





Cac Loai Keo Chinh Can Nam Vung





Trong the gioi ca do, co ba loai keo co ban ma bat ky nguoi choi nao cung phai thong thao:





Keo Chau A (Handicap)





Day la loai keo pho bien nhat, dung de san bang su chenh lech thuc luc giua hai doi bong. Khi doi dau voi mot doi manh hon (cua tren), doi yeu hon (cua duoi) se duoc chap mot so ban thang nhat dinh.





Phan tich keo Chau A doi hoi su tinh te. Neu ban thay keo nha cai giam manh cua tren hoac tang manh cua duoi, do co the la dau hieu cho thay thong tin noi bo hoac dong tien dang co su dich chuyen bat thuong. Hay luon so sanh ty le cuoc mo man (mo keo) va ty le cuoc hien tai (keo chay) de tim ra diem bat hop ly.





Keo Chau Au (1X2)





Keo 1X2 don gian hon, chi du doan doi thang (1), doi thua (2) hoac hoa (X). Mac du don gian ve mat lua chon, viec phan tich ty le an (odds) cua keo nay lai rat quan trong. Ty le an thap cho mot doi thuong phan anh su tu tin lon cua nha cai vao chien thang cua doi do. Neu ty le an cho cua hoa qua cao, doi khi do la mot cai bay de du nguoi choi dat cuoc vao cua hoa ma thuc chat ket qua lai la mot trong hai doi gianh chien thang.





Keo Tai Xiu (Over/Under)





Keo Tai Xiu tap trung vao tong so ban thang duoc ghi trong tran dau. Khi phan tich keo nay, phong do hang cong va hang thu cua hai doi la yeu to then chot. Neu ca hai doi deu co xu huong choi tan cong coi mo hoac nguoc lai, hang thu thi dau chac chan, ban co the dua ra quyet dinh dua tren xu huong nay. Su thay doi ve moc Tai Xiu (vi du tu 2.5/3 xuong con 2.5) sau khi thong tin ve doi hinh ra san duoc cong bo co the la tin hieu quan trong.





Cong Thuc "Soi Keo" Hieu Qua





De cac keo nha cai khong con la bi an, ban can ap dung mot quy trinh phan tich chat che:





1. Nghien cuu Phong Do va Luc Luong: Dung chi nhin vao ket qua 5 tran gan nhat. Hay xem doi bong do thi dau voi doi thu manh hay yeu, san nha hay san khach. Cac chan thuong cua cau thu chu chot (dac biet la tien dao hoac trung ve tru cot) co the lam thay doi hoan toan cuc dien keo chap.





2. Phan Tich Yeu To Tam Ly va Dong Luc: Tran dau nay co y nghia gi voi moi doi? Mot tran derby cang thang luon khac voi mot tran giao huu vo thuong vo phat. Doi khi, dong luc chien dau (vi du doi dang vat lon tru hang) con quan trong hon ca thu hang tren bang xep hang.





3. Theo Doi Bien Dong Keo Lien Tuc: Day la buoc quan trong nhat de hieu duoc dong tien thong minh. Neu mot doi duoc danh gia manh hon nhung keo nha cai lai lien tuc nghieng ve phia doi yeu hon, dieu nay cho thay gioi dau tu chuyen nghiep dang do tien vao cua duoi. Viec bam sat nhung thay doi nay giup ban di truoc dam dong.





4. Tham Khao Nguon Tin Cay: Viec tham khao y kien tu cac chuyen gia phan tich uy tin hoac cac dien dan uy tin chuyen ve keo nha cai (nhu nhung noi chia se kien thuc sau rong va minh bach) se bo sung goc nhin da chieu, giup ban tranh duoc nhung sai lam do cam tinh ca nhan.





Loi Ket Ve Viec Dat Cuoc Thong Minh





Thanh cong trong ca cuoc khong den tu viec thang lien tuc, ma den tu viec quan ly von va kien nhan cho doi nhung co hoi vang ma keo nha cai mang lai. Luon giu cai dau lanh, khong chay theo so dong va luon ton trong su phuc tap cua cac con so. Khi ban da trang bi du kien thuc phan tich, viec dat cuoc se tro thanh mot hoat dong dau tu co tinh toan thay vi danh bac may rui. Hay la nguoi choi thong thai, nam bat quy luat thi truong de luon di truoc mot buoc. Xem them: https://archive.org/details/@tylekeonhacaivin1/lists





https://www.natthadon-sanengineering.com/forum/topic/63177/ty-le-keo



https://www.navacool.com/forum/topic/272353/ty-le-keo



https://www.rueanmaihom.net/forum/topic/67006/ty-le-keo