Ca cuoc the thao luon la mot dau truong day kich tinh, va trong do, cuoc xien (hay con goi la cuoc gop, accumulator bet) noi len nhu mot lua chon hap dan bac nhat cho nhung ai dam mo ve nhung khoan thang lon tu so von nho. Tuy nhien, de bien giac mo thanh hien thuc, nguoi choi can nam vung luat choi, chien thuat va quan trong nhat la quan ly rui ro. Bai viet nay se cung cap mot huong dan chi tiet, giup ban tu tin chinh phuc the gioi keo xien mot cach thong minh nhat.

Cuoc Xien La Gi? Khai Niem Co Ban Can Nam Vung

Truoc khi di sau vao chien luoc, dieu cot loi la phai hieu ro ban chat cua cuoc xien. Cuoc xien la hinh thuc nguoi choi dat cuoc gop nhieu lua chon (hay con goi la cac tran dau/keo rieng le) thanh mot ve cuoc duy nhat. Diem dac biet va cung la thach thuc cua keo xien nam o cho: Tat ca cac lua chon trong ve cuoc do deu phai thang thi nguoi choi moi nhan duoc tien thuong. Neu chi can mot lua chon duy nhat thua, toan bo ve cuoc coi nhu that bai.

Chinh vi tinh chat "tat ca hoac khong co gi" nay, ty le tra thuong (odds) cua cuoc xien se duoc nhan len theo cap so nhan dua tren ty le keo cua tung tran dau cau thanh. Day la ly do khien cuoc xien thu hut boi tiem nang loi nhuan khong lo.

Ty Le keo nha cai 5 Trong Cuoc Xien: Cach Tinh Toan Don Gian

Hieu duoc cach nha cai tinh toan loi nhuan la chia khoa de danh gia rui ro. Trong keo xien, ty le tra thuong cuoi cung khong phai la tong cua cac ty le keo, ma la tich so cua chung.

Cong thuc co ban:

$Ty Le Keo Xien = Ty Le Keo Tran 1 \times Ty Le Keo Tran 2 \times \dots \times Ty Le Keo Tran N$

Vi du thuc te: Gia su ban dat cuoc xien 3 tran:

1. Tran A: Keo 1.80

2. Tran B: Keo 2.10

3. Tran C: Keo 1.55

Ty le keo xien cua ban se la: $1.80 \times 2.10 \times 1.55 = 5.859$

Neu ban dat cuoc 100.000 VND, so tien thang cuoc tiem nang se la: $100.000 \times 5.859 = 585.900$ VND (bao gom ca von).

Chien Luoc Xay Dung Ve Cuoc Xien Hieu Qua

Choi cuoc xien khong chi don thuan la gop cac keo co ty le cao. De toi uu hoa co hoi chien thang, hay ap dung nhung chien luoc sau:

1. Khong Tham Lam: Gioi Han So Luong Tran Dau

Sai lam lon nhat cua nguoi choi moi la co gang gop qua nhieu tran dau (vi du: xien 10 hoac 12 tran) voi hy vong "an dam". Khi so luong tran dau tang len, xac suat thang cua ve xien giam di theo cap so nhan.

Loi khuyen: Hay giu ve cuoc cua ban o muc 3 den 5 tran dau la ly tuong. Day la so luong du de nhan ty le keo len dang ke nhung van giu duoc xac suat thang hop ly dua tren su phan tich ky luong.



2. Chi Chon Keo "Chac An" (Banker Bets)

Khi xay dung keo xien, ban nen tap trung vao nhung lua chon ma ban co do tin cay cao nhat. Hay uu tien cac keo co ty le thap hon mot chut (khoang 1.30 den 1.60) nhung co co so phan tich vung chac.

Hay tu hoi: "Neu chi duoc dat cuoc vao mot tran nay, toi co tu tin 80% tro len khong?" Chi nhung tran dau dap ung tieu chi nay moi duoc dua vao ve xien cua ban. Keo xien nen duoc xay dung tu nen tang cua nhung keo don (single bet) ma ban da nghien cuu ky luong ve phong do, lich su doi dau, va thong tin doi hinh.

3. Quan Ly Von Nghiem Ngat (Bankroll Management)

Vi cuoc xien mang tinh rui ro cao hon cuoc don, ban khong nen don het von vao mot ve duy nhat. Hay quy dinh ro rang so tien toi da ban san sang mat cho mot ve xien.

Nguyen tac chung: So tien dat cuoc cho mot ve xien khong nen vuot qua 1% den 3% tong so von cua ban. Dieu nay dam bao rang neu ve xien do khong may thua, no se khong anh huong qua lon den kha nang tiep tuc choi cua ban vao nhung lan sau.

4. Ky Thuat "Xien Nho" (Permutations)

Doi voi nhung nguoi choi muon giam thieu rui ro ma van tan dung duoc loi the cua cac tran dau minh du doan dung, ky thuat xien nho la lua chon tuyet voi. Thay vi dat cuoc xien 4 tran (1 ve), ban chia nho thanh cac to hop xien 3 (4 ve khac nhau).

Vi du: Neu ban co 4 doi A, B, C, D. Thay vi cuoc (A+B+C+D), ban cuoc: (A+B+C), (A+B+D), (A+C+D), (B+C+D).

Neu chi co 3 doi thang (vi du A, B, C thua), ban van thang duoc 1 ve cuoc. Chien thuat nay giup phan tan rui ro ma van co co hoi nhan thuong tu cac to hop thang mot phan.

Nhung Dieu Cam Ky Can Tranh Khi Choi Cuoc Xien

De bao ve von va tang kinh nghiem, hay tranh xa nhung sai lam pho bien sau:

Cuoc xien dua tren cam tinh hoac doi bong yeu thich: Cam xuc ca nhan khong co cho trong ca cuoc khoa hoc. Moi quyet dinh phai dua tren du lieu va phan tich.

Choi xien "Mi An Lien" (Keo ty le rat thap): Tranh gop qua nhieu keo co ty le duoi 1.20. Mac du chung co ve chac chan, nhung chung lai lam giam bien do loi nhuan tiem nang cua toan bo ve xien mot cach khong dang ke.

* Quen kiem tra luat ve Keo Huy (Void Bet): Trong mot so truong hop hiem hoi, mot tran dau bi hoan hoac huy bo, nha cai co the loai bo keo do khoi ve xien va tinh lai ty le cho cac tran con lai. Luon kiem tra dieu khoan nay de tranh bat ngo.

Choi cuoc xien la mot nghe thuat ket hop giua niem tin vao du doan ca nhan va su kien nhan trong quan ly rui ro. Khi ban ap dung cac nguyen tac phan tich va quan ly von chat che, co hoi bien nhung dong von nho thanh phan thuong lon khong con la dieu xa voi. Hay bat dau voi nhung ve xien nho, hoc hoi tu kinh nghiem va dan dan mo rong chien thuat cua minh trong ket qua bong da.

Xem Them:

https://www.vhs80.com/board/board_topic/6798823/7767829.htm

https://www.sunemall.com/board/board_topic/8431232/7767840.htm

https://www.myaspenridge.com/board/board_topic/3180173/7767853.htm