"Cuoc doi vo dich luon la mot trong nhung hinh thuc dat cuoc hap dan nhat trong the gioi the thao. No khong chi mang lai co hoi thang lon ma con la bai kiem tra thuc su ve kha nang phan tich, kien nhan va hieu biet sau sac cua nguoi choi ve cac giai dau. Tuy nhien, giua vo so nhung cai ten sang gia va nhung ""ngua o"" tiem an, lam the nao de ban co the dua ra quyet dinh sang suot nhat? Chia khoa nam o viec nam vung va giai ma nhung con so – ty le keo.



Hieu Ro Ban Chat Cua Ty Le Keo Khi Cuoc Vo Dich



Khi noi den cuoc vo dich, ty le keo (odds) khong chi la con so ma nha cai dua ra; chung la mot phep tinh xac suat an chua thong tin quan trong ve ky vong cua thi truong. Ty le keo cang thap, doi do cang duoc danh gia cao co kha nang dang quang. Nguoc lai, ty le keo cao ngu y xac suat thap hon, nhung tiem nang loi nhuan lai hap dan hon rat nhieu.



Dieu quan trong la phai phan biet giua ty le keo ban dau (mo keo) va ty le keo cuoi cung (truoc khi giai dau bat dau hoac truoc tran chung ket). Ty le keo mo co the phan anh suc manh doi hinh tai thoi diem cong bo, nhung ty le keo gan ngay thi dau se phan anh nhung thay doi ve phong do, chan thuong hay cac thuong vu chuyen nhuong phut chot. Viec theo doi su bien dong nay la buoc dau tien de tim ra gia tri thuc su.



Phan Tich Sau: Vuot Qua Danh Tieng Be Ngoai



Nhieu nguoi choi moi mac sai lam khi chi nhin vao cac doi bong lon hay cac nha duong kim vo dich. De chien thang trong cuoc doi vo dich, ban can mot cai nhin da chieu. Hay dao sau vao cac yeu to sau, chung se giup ban danh gia chinh xac hon ty le keo ma nha cai niem yet.



keo nha cai 5 - Thu nhat, hay xem xet Lich thi dau va Dieu kien san bai. Mot doi co chuoi tran dau cang thang truoc vong loai truc tiep co the bi bao suc, du ho so huu doi hinh manh. Nguoc lai, mot doi co lich trinh thuan loi hon co the giu duoc the luc sung man cho giai doan quyet dinh. Dung quen yeu to san nha/san khach, dac biet o cac giai dau quoc te noi ap luc khan gia dong vai tro khong nho.



Thu hai, Do sau cua Doi hinh (Squad Depth) la yeu to song con trong mot giai dau keo dai. Cuoc vo dich khong chi la ve doi hinh xuat phat, ma la ve chat luong cua cac cau thu du bi. Mot chan thuong bat ngo cua tru cot co the khien doi hinh sup do neu khong co phuong an thay the chat luong. Hay kiem tra xem doi hinh du bi cua ho co the ganh vac ap luc hay khong.



Thu ba, Phong do Gan day va Tam ly Chien thang. Mot doi co the co ty le keo tot tu dau mua, nhung neu ho buoc vao giai doan cuoi voi chuoi tran khong nhu y, tam ly co the bi anh huong. Nguoc lai, nhung ""ngua o"" co the co ty le keo ban dau cao hon, nhung neu ho dang co da thang lien tiep, su tu tin do co the giup ho vuot qua cac doi thu duoc danh gia cao hon.



Chien Thuat Cuoc Gia Tri (Value Betting) Trong Ty Le Keo



Muc tieu cua nguoi choi thong minh khong phai la chon doi co kha nang thang cao nhat, ma la tim ra doi ma ty le keo cua ho cao hon xac suat thang thuc te cua ban. Day chinh la ""gia tri"" (value).



Vi du, neu nha cai dat ty le keo cho Doi A la 5.00 (xac suat ngu y khoang 20%), nhung qua phan tich chuyen sau cua ban (dua tren chan thuong, lich thi dau, va phong do doi dau), ban tin rang xac suat Doi A vo dich thuc te la 25% (ty le keo ly tuong phai la 4.00). Trong truong hop nay, 5.00 la mot ty le keo co gia tri cao va dang de ban dat cuoc.



Nguoc lai, neu mot doi duoc tung ho qua muc (vi du: ty le keo chi 1.50, tuong duong xac suat ngu y 66.7%), nhung phan tich cua ban cho thay ho chi co 55% co hoi vo dich, thi day la mot cuoc co gia tri thap hoac am. Dung bi cuon theo dam dong va ty le keo thap; hay tim kiem su chenh lech giua nhan dinh cua ban va nhan dinh cua thi truong.



Thoi Diem Vang De Dat Cuoc Doi Vo Dich



Viec dat cuoc som (cuoc Ante-post) mang lai ty le keo tot nhat vi no phan anh it thong tin nhat. Day la luc ban ap dung kha nang du doan dai han cua minh truoc khi cac giai dau chinh thuc bat dau.



Tuy nhien, viec cho doi co the mang lai loi the khac. Neu ban cho den vong Tu ket hoac Ban ket, thong tin se ro rang hon rat nhieu, nhung ty le keo cho cac ung vien hang dau se giam manh. Mot chien luoc thong minh la ket hop: dat cuoc mot phan nho vao cac ung vien tiem nang som de khoa muc keo tot, sau do dat cuoc bo sung (hoac cuoc Hedging) vao giua giai dau khi co doi tao duoc bat ngo nhung ty le keo van con hap dan.



Tom lai, cuoc doi vo dich la mot cuoc dua duong dai doi hoi su kien nhan va phan tich ti mi. Hay coi ty le keo nhu mot ban do, khong phai la mot menh lenh. Bang cach phan tich sau sac cac yeu to ben ngoai va tim kiem gia tri an trong cac con so, ban se tang dang ke co hoi cham tay vao vinh quang cung doi vo dich ma ban da chon. Chuc ban thanh cong tren hanh trinh chinh phuc cac giai dau lon!"

https://www.vajiracoop.com/forum/topic/47828/ca-hai-doi-cung-ghi-ban

https://www.dideadesign.com/forum/topic/19622/ty-le-keo--hong-kong

https://www.pho-thong.com/forum/topic/53638/cuoc-cau-thu-ghi-ban

Xem them: https://tylekeonhacaivin7.wordpress.com/